Submitted by David Kuan11.05.2008
Thunderdome
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This prediction is closed and has been judged.
Judgment made on Feb. 2, 2009: The community has correctly predicted no announcement of a Chinese iPhone launch. For now, the tech-savvy Chinese will continue to buy their iPhone overseas and hack them to use back on the mainland. -- The Industry Standard
Original prediction: With the launch of the iPhone, Apple has become one of the most influential players in the wireless mobile market in the world.
Despite the iPhone being manufactured in China, Apple has failed to reach an agreement to launch its popular mobile phone there.
However, there is now some indication that Apple may have reached an agreement with China Mobile.
Predict: Will Apple will make a formal announcement of an iPhone launch in China by the end of January 2009?
Let the community decide. Place your bets below.
Price History
Prediction Statistics
| Betting Closes: | Jan 30 2009 | Current Consensus: | 1.00% | Total Bets: | 33 |
| Today's Change: | 0% | ||||
| Life Time High: | 61.06% | ||||
| Life Time Low: | 1.00% |
Comments
There are job postings surfacing around this.
@Eric, nice sleuthing there! Technically, it doesn't make sense for Apple to create a non-GSM based iPhone. However, the sheer size of the China mobile market is just too big to ignore as well.
As an aside: Keep in mind that January 26 is the Chinese New Year, in 2009. It is an important holiday in their tradition, which practices include exchanges of gifts. :-)
@Lev, a minor correction .. rather than exchange of gifts ...he young unwed ones receives $$$$$ from their elders and other relatives who are married in red packet envelopes. This is followed by binging on new year goodies and treats.
Thanks for clarifying! Interesting.. and is the $$$ intended to be used a certain way? For instance, would it be ok to obtain that [possibly] newly released iPhone?
That's the beauty of receiving money in red envelopes. You get enough new year's money, you can buy an iPhone for you and your friends.
Apple should go with China Unicom first, then China mobile will be anxious to be on board to carry iPhone, www.wirelessinput.com
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