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Dow Jones drops 10% in a single day by end of 2008?

David Kuan
Comments 2
This prediction is closed and has been judged.
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Judgment made on January 7, 2009: During this time frame, the Dow failed to drop below 10%. Whew. The closest it came was on Oct. 15 when it dropped 733 points for a 7.87% change. The community guessed correctly. -- The Industry Standard

Original prediction: Black October struck again and the global economy is in a crisis of historical proportions.

The week of October 6 to October 10 presents the worst week ever in the equity market worldwide. An 18% drop in DJIA, a 24% drop in Nikkei 225, and a 21% drop in FTSE 100.

DJIA has also experienced large daily losses in the past few weeks.

Note the top ten single-day drops in the table below.

Rank Date Close Net Change % Change
1 1987-10-19 1,738.74 -508.00 -22.61
2 1929-10-28 260.64 -38.33 -12.82
3 1929-10-29 230.07 -30.57 -11.73
4 1929-11-06 232.13 -25.55 -9.92
5 1899-12-18 58.27 -5.57 -8.72
6 1932-08-12 63.11 -5.79 -8.40
7 1907-03-14 76.23 -6.89 -8.29
8 1987-10-26 1,793.93 -156.83 -8.04
9 1933-07-21 88.71 -7.55 -7.84
10 1937-10-18 125.73 -10.57 -7.75

PREDICTION: At least a 10% single-day drop in Dow Jones Industrial Average between October 10 and end of 2008.

(AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Price History

Prediction Statistics

Betting Closes:Dec 31 2008Current Consensus:7.94%Total Bets:15
Today's Change:
0%
Life Time High:48.75%
Life Time Low:7.94%

Comments

Close but not close enough. DJIA dropped about 680 points today which is about 7.7%.


Did not happen. Unfavorable judgment can now be rendered.


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